Minnesota vs. New Mexico State odds, line: 2022 college football picks, Week 1 predictions from proven model – CBS Sports

byTrends Catchup -September 02, 2022

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New Mexico State will be looking to bounce back from a 23-12 loss to Nevada when it travels to Minnesota on Thursday night. The Aggies took a 2-0 lead on an early safety, but they never led again in that Week 0 matchup. Minnesota is trying to build on its 9-4 season from 2021, returning its star quarterback and running back.

Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. The Golden Gophers are 36.5-point favorites in the latest New Mexico State vs. Minnesota odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 52.5. Before making any New Mexico State vs. Minnesota picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the red-hot simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 1 of the 2022 college football season on a 45-32 run on all top-rated college football side picks that dates back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Minnesota vs. New Mexico State and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for New Mexico State vs. Minnesota:

Minnesota vs. New Mexico State spread: Minnesota -36.5
Minnesota vs. New Mexico State over/under: 53 points
Minnesota vs. New Mexico State picks: See picks here.

Why Minnesota can cover

The Golden Gophers have plenty of offensive firepower, which makes them a team to bet as heavy favorites. They should have no problem running up the score against a New Mexico State defense that allowed 40.4 points per game last year and is still adjusting to a new coaching staff. Minnesota running back Mohamed Ibrahim went down with a season-ending injury in the first game of the 2021 season, but he is back on the field this year.

Ibrahim finished second in the country in rushing yards in 2020, averaging 153.7 per game. He has 3,003 rushing yards and 33 touchdowns in his career, and he could easily go over 200 yards on Thursday night. New Mexico State’s defense is not going to have any answers for Ibrahim and the Minnesota offense, giving the Golden Gophers a clear path to covering this spread.

Why New Mexico State can cover

New Mexico State has an advantage after playing a game last week, as it now has game action under its belt heading into Week 1. The Aggies might not have been able to pull off an upset against Nevada, but their defense held the Wolf Pack in check throughout the contest. They will now be able to make some adjustments on both sides of the ball, which is not a luxury that Minnesota has.

Kill will be motivated by facing his former team, so he will get an inspired effort from his squad. The Aggies have covered the spread in five of their last six games in the month of September. Minnesota is not going to be fired up for a matchup with a small school, and a slow start will be enough for New Mexico State to cover this number.

How to make Minnesota vs. New Mexico State picks

The model has simulated Minnesota vs. New Mexico State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in more than 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins New Mexico State vs. Minnesota? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Minnesota vs. New Mexico State spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.